|
Dates |
Total Online Interviews |
|
| Wave I |
1/4-25/2016 |
1,000 adults |
912 Likely to register to vote |
| Wave II |
6/8-7/5/2016 |
1,000 adults |
845 Likely to vote in November |
| Wave IIIA |
8/15-9/1/2016 |
514 adults |
453 Likely to vote in November |
| Wave IIIB |
9/1-22/2016 |
528 adults |
455 Likely to vote in November |
| Wave IV |
10/20-27/2016 |
495 adults |
440 say they will vote in November |
10b. If the election were held today, who would you vote for?
|
8/15-9/16 |
9/1-22/16 |
10/20-27/16 |
| Hillary Clinton |
48 |
44 |
51 |
| Donald Trump |
37 |
40 |
37 |
| Gary Johnson |
11 |
13 |
6 |
| Jill Stein |
3 |
3 |
5 |
11. Who do you think is going to win?
|
1/4-25/16 |
6/8-7/5/16 |
8/15-9/1/16 |
9/1-22/16 |
10/20-27/16 |
| Joe Biden |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
| Hillary Clinton |
42 |
55 |
64 |
59 |
65 |
| Mitt Romney |
2 |
– |
|
|
|
| Paul Ryan |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
| Bernie Sanders |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
| Donald Trump |
28 |
36 |
31 |
37 |
32 |
| Elizabeth Warren |
|
– |
|
|
|
| Gary Johnson |
|
|
3 |
3 |
1 |
| Jill Stein |
|
|
2 |
1 |
3 |
29. Earlier you mentioned that you plan to vote. How certain are you that you will vote?
|
10/20-27/16 |
| Completely certain |
74 |
| Extremely certain |
9 |
| Very certain |
7 |
| Somewhat certain |
8 |
| Hardly certain at all |
1 |
| Not at all certain |
1 |
30. Earlier you mentioned that you are going to vote for [candidate’s name]. How certain are you that you are going to vote for that individual?
|
10/20-27/16 |
| Completely certain |
61 |
| Extremely certain |
14 |
| Very certain |
10 |
| Somewhat certain |
9 |
| Hardly certain at all |
4 |
| Not at all certain |
2 |
